Press & Analysis

2026 Study: The "Swiss Shield" Protects Cross-Border Purchasing Power (+3.0%)

Published: January 16, 2026 | By Ibani Data Team

While inflation continues to erode household savings across Europe, the 400,000 cross-border workers in Switzerland are benefiting from a unique economic environment. Our annual study reveals a significant increase in real purchasing power, driven primarily by a strong Swiss Franc compensating for conservative nominal wage hikes.

Key Findings of the Study (January 2026)

We cross-referenced official macroeconomic data (Switzerland and Eurozone/France) with exchange rate trends observed on the interbank market.

Economic Indicator2026 VariationImpact for Cross-Border WorkersSource
Swiss Wage Increase
(Nominal Average)
+ 1.0 %Moderate increase in CHF gross incomeUBS / KOF
Exchange Rate Effect (CHF/EUR)
(vs 2024 Average)
+ 2.9 %Gain upon conversion to EurosBdF / ECB
Inflation (France/Eurozone)
(Cost of Living)
- 0.9 %Loss of purchasing powerINSEE
NET PURCHASING POWER GAIN+ 3.0 %Secured Real GainIbani Calculation

*Sector Note: For IT/Tech profiles, wage increases reach +1.7% (Source: UBS), bringing the total potential gain to +3.7%.

1. Swiss Wages: A Prudent Rise (+1.0%)

According to the Autumn survey by UBS, Swiss companies plan a nominal wage increase of 1.0% in 2026. This caution is explained by the very low inflation rate in Switzerland.

However, for a cross-border worker, this increase is "net": it adds to their income without being eaten away by Swiss inflation, since they consume primarily in the Eurozone.

2. The Exchange Rate: The Real Engine (+2.9%)

This is this year's multiplier factor. The Swiss Franc (CHF) confirms its status as a safe-haven currency.

By comparing the average exchange rate of 2024 with the rate in early 2026, we observe a structural appreciation of the Franc against the Euro. Concretely:

  • For a salary of 5,000 CHF converted.
  • The monthly gain from the exchange rate effect alone is approximately 140 € compared to the 2024 average.

"Even with a timid Swiss wage increase (+1%), the cross-border worker is the big winner of 2026 (+3%) thanks to the exchange rate. It is a unique financial arbitrage in Europe."

Brice Delhome, Head of Growth at Ibani

3. Warning: Don't Let the Bank Take This Gain

While the economic situation offers a theoretical gain of 3.0%, a portion is often captured by banking intermediaries.

Our study finds that traditional banks apply an average exchange margin of 1.5% on the interbank rate. Over a year, this "wipes out" half of the purchasing power gain identified in this study.

Using a specialized service like Ibani allows you to minimize this margin and secure almost the entire cyclical gain.

Study Methodology

This analysis was conducted by Ibani in January 2026. The calculation of the real purchasing power gain is based on the following formula: (Nominal CH Wage Hike + CHF/EUR Exchange Gain) - FR Inflation.

  • Swiss Wages: Forecasts from the UBS Outlook survey (November 2025) & KOF - ETH Zurich
  • Inflation (France): Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by INSEE (January 2026).
  • Exchange Rates: Historical daily reference rates from the Banque de France (Comparison 2024 Average vs January 2026).

Secure Your Purchasing Power Gain

Don't let your bank nibble away at your 3% gain. Switch to the real exchange rate.

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